Conf = NESCAC State = MA
Nickname = Ephs Coach = Alice LeeGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.7225037 home-field advantage = -0.60 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 H Skidmore Liberty Leagu ( 9- 9, 87.1) 11- 4 303 A Smith NEWMAC ( 9-10, 79.2) 18- 1 309 H Bates NESCAC ( 6- 9, 88.5) 11- 0 316 A Wesleyan NESCAC (16- 4, 97.0) 12-16 322 H Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 9, 92.2) 8- 6 325 A Claremont-Mudd-Scripps SCIAC (13- 6, 87.6) 13- 9 327 A Pomona Pitzer SCIAC (19- 2, 92.0) 13- 6 330 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 7- 8, 89.6) 11- 6 402 A Tufts NESCAC (16- 4, 97.2) 9-17 406 H Amherst NESCAC ( 8- 8, 91.7) 8-17 410 A Hamilton NESCAC ( 7- 8, 90.8) 7-12 413 H Bowdoin NESCAC ( 8- 8, 91.1) 6-10 420 A Colby NESCAC (13- 7, 93.3) 5-13 424 H Middlebury NESCAC (23- 0, 99.9) 8-12
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Skidmore 11- 4 7 5 1.75 303 A Smith 18- 1 17 11 0.00 309 H Bates 11- 0 11 3 + 3.22 316 A Wesleyan 12-16 -4 -5 1.82 322 H Trinity 8- 6 2 0 1.85 325 A Claremont-Mudd-Scripps 13- 9 4 3 0.50 327 A Pomona Pitzer 13- 6 7 0 +++ 7.86 330 A Connecticut College 11- 6 5 1 + 3.45 402 A Tufts 9-17 -8 -6 -0.89 406 H Amherst 8-17 -9 0 --- -7.60 410 A Hamilton 7-12 -5 0 -- -5.29 413 H Bowdoin 6-10 -4 1 -- -5.23 420 A Colby 5-13 -8 -2 -- -4.86 424 H Middlebury 8-12 -4 -7 + 3.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 H Amherst 8-17 -9 0 --- -7.60 410 A Hamilton 7-12 -5 0 -- -5.29 413 H Bowdoin 6-10 -4 1 -- -5.23 420 A Colby 5-13 -8 -2 -- -4.86OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 A Pomona Pitzer 13- 6 7 0 +++ 7.86 309 H Bates 11- 0 11 3 + 3.22 330 A Connecticut College 11- 6 5 1 + 3.45 424 H Middlebury 8-12 -4 -7 + 3.00
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 91.72 Power Rank................. 18 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 79.92 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 10 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6544 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 50 RPI Rating............... .5922 RPI Rank................... 46 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 18 Selection sum ........... 180 Selection Rank ............ 49 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -45. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 72 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -70. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 84 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.3